Week 11: The Rise of the Non Throwing QB

Coming off a very impressive week of picks last week I will look to stay as hot as Tim Tebow’s arm was on one of his two awe inspiring completions last week.

(Home team in caps)

DENVER + 4.5 over NY Jets

Why not ride Tebow? He is so averse to throwing the ball that it will seem to neutralize the great Darrelle Revis. The rest of the Jets defense is undersized, and against the power football of the Broncos I can see them struggling to stop the run.

ATLANTA -6 over Tennessee

The Falcons are coming off a very competitive outing against the Saints who are possibly the second best team in the league, and though the Titans throttled the Panthers last week, I think the Falcons will be a much tougher test. CJ2K came back last week in a big way, but expect him to fall back to his early season ways in this one.

Buffalo +2 over MIAMI

The wheels have absolutely fallen off the wagon for the Bills of late, losing 2 in a row and not looking good in the process. The Dolphins are playing better, but their wins did come against the Chiefs and Redskins, so we should not get too excited. The Bills season is on the line and as Boomer says no one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills.

BALTIMORE -7 over Cincinnati

It is impossible to figure out the Ravens, they can look like world-beaters one week and in others just not show up. It is hard to imagine them falling flat 2 weeks in a row, and with AJ Green hobbled and Leon Hall done for the year, I see Baltimore winning this one, though the Bengals will continue to play hard as they do every week.

Jacksonville -1 over CLEVELAND

MJD will play well and the beat up Browns will lose another one. Feel free to not pay any attention to this game. ANY!

Oakland +1.5 over MINNESOTA

Carson Palmer looked like the Carson of old last week, and the Vikings could not have looked worse. There is nothing left to play for in Minnesota, but the Raiders can still sneak into the playoffs out of the very weak AFC West. Expect the Raiders to take it to the lowly Vikes.

DETROIT -7 over Carolina

The Lions looked awful last week, and are in the midst of losing 3 of 4. But let us not underestimate how awful the Panthers are. Cam Newton’s heroics have overshadowed a truly horrendous defense all year. Expect some points, but most of them will come from the Lions.

GREEN BAY -13.5 over Tampa Bay

There are not many words that can express how dominant the Packers were this past week against the Vikings (though this diary gives a pretty good idea of how great they were). It is hard to imagine a spread high enough to not bet the Packers, and 13.5 is not high enough for me.

Dallas -7.5 over WASHINGTON

The Redskins look like they are well on their way to another double-digit loss season. With no capable option at QB, no consistency from their running game, and too many injuries to count, this game could be another blowout loss at the hands of the suddenly strong Cowboys led by their exciting young running back DeMarco Murray.

Arizona +9.5 over SAN FRANSISCO

The 49ers do not blow teams out. They run the ball down the opponents’ throat until the game ends. They are also very good at stopping the run, but rank 26th against the past. Expect Larry Fitzgerald and the Cardinals to keep it close throughout.

ST. LOUIS -2 over Seattle

Sam Bradford back, Steven Jackson looking strong… I think that is more than anyone cares to hear about this game.

CHICAGO -3.5 over San Diego

The Bears have proved everyone wrong over the past few weeks by continuing to win. The Chargers on the other hand have been playing below their potential for a week and a half now. The season is by no means lost for the Bolts in the awful AFC west, but a loss here is really going to put them behind the 8 ball.

NY GIANTS -4 over Philadelphia

A season on the brink, a team in disarray, this would be the perfect time to salvage the season… but I guess last week would have worked too, or the week before that. There is no reason to think the Eagles will get off the mat this week, there just does not seem to be any fight left in Philly.

NEW ENGLAND -15 over Kansas City

15 points is a huge spread. But the Chiefs will be without their starting QB and have gotten very little production from the running game. The Pats have been known to run up the score in the past, so do not be surprised to see another rout on Monday Night.

Good luck with your picks, and as always, gamble responsibly!

Last Week: 12-4

Season: 18-12

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